St Johns (NY)
W-L: ( 2-12) PR = 87.8539Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H NJIT America Eas ( 4- 9, 88.2) 10-17 214 H Delaware CAA ( 5- 8, 89.8) 11-12 217 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 5-10, 87.2) 20- 8 221 A Hofstra CAA ( 4-10, 89.2) 9- 8 228 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5- 9, 90.6) 9-11 307 H Bryant America Eas ( 7- 6, 89.1) 7-11 310 H Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 94.1) 4-19 314 A Mercer ASUN ( 6- 8, 88.5) 11-12 321 H Brown Ivy ( 6- 7, 93.2) 8-13 328 H Villanova Big East ( 6- 8, 93.0) 7-21 404 H Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.6) 10-11 411 A Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 94.7) 9-15 418 A Georgetown Big East (10- 4, 98.0) 11-18 424 H Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 92.5) 10-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H NJIT 10-17 -7 1 --- -8.03
214 H Delaware 11-12 -1 -1 -0.44
217 A Quinnipiac 20- 8 12 -1 +++ 7.73
221 A Hofstra 9- 8 1 -3 + 3.75
228 A Lafayette 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.13
307 H Bryant 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.11
310 H Rutgers 4-19 -15 -5 - -2.10
314 A Mercer 11-12 -1 -2 0.99
321 H Brown 8-13 -5 -4 -1.05
328 H Villanova 7-21 -14 -4 - -3.18
404 H Marquette 10-11 -1 -2 1.33
411 A Denver 9-15 -6 -8 1.00
418 A Georgetown 11-18 -7 -12 0.00
424 H Providence 10-18 -8 -3 - -3.69
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H NJIT 10-17 -7 1 --- -8.03 307 H Bryant 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.11 310 H Rutgers 4-19 -15 -5 - -2.10 328 H Villanova 7-21 -14 -4 - -3.18 424 H Providence 10-18 -8 -3 - -3.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Quinnipiac 20- 8 12 -1 +++ 7.73 221 A Hofstra 9- 8 1 -3 + 3.75 228 A Lafayette 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.13 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H NJIT ( 4- 9, 88.2) 10-17 -11.70 8.89 -1.38 1.02 -6.68
3 H Delaware ( 5- 8, 89.8) 11-12 -10.11 10.49 -1.38 1.02 -5.87
3 A Quinnipiac ( 5-10, 87.2) 20- 8 -12.69 7.91 1.38 1.02 18.98
3 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 89.2) 9- 8 -10.67 9.92 1.38 1.02 23.10
3 A Lafayette ( 5- 9, 90.6) 9-11 -9.29 11.30 1.38 1.02 -4.05
3 H Bryant ( 7- 6, 89.1) 7-11 -10.78 9.81 -1.38 1.02 -6.22
3 H Rutgers ( 8- 7, 94.1) 4-19 -5.77 14.82 -1.38 1.02 -3.65
3 A Mercer ( 6- 8, 88.5) 11-12 -11.43 9.17 1.38 1.02 -5.14
3 H Brown ( 6- 7, 93.2) 8-13 -6.72 13.88 -1.38 1.02 -4.14
3 H Villanova ( 6- 8, 93.0) 7-21 -6.85 13.74 -1.38 1.02 -4.21
3 H Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.6) 10-11 -8.34 12.26 -1.38 1.02 -4.96
3 A Denver ( 6- 8, 94.7) 9-15 -5.25 15.35 1.38 1.02 -1.98
3 A Georgetown (10- 4, 98.0) 11-18 -1.92 18.68 1.38 1.02 -0.28
3 H Providence ( 8- 9, 92.5) 10-18 -7.36 13.24 -1.38 1.02 -4.47
------
-9.56
|
winning pts = 42.0802 losing points = -51.6397
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------